Showing posts with label Suarez. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Suarez. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 2

Luis Suarez or Daniel Sturridge?


We've lifted the above graphic from the GW6 issue of our free weekly newsletter. It shows the 8 gameweeks where Daniel Sturridge and Luis Suarez played together last season. We did this analysis for Rooney and Van Persie too. 

There are actually 9 games represented here due to a DGW which Sturridge only played 90 minutes due to injury.  As you can see we've totalled up the points per 90 minutes (PPG) for both players with and without each other on the pitch and the conclusions from last season was the same for both. Together they shared the points, on their own the bossed it.

From their two games together this season though (including the cup game with United), we have noticed a difference. Despite them again "sharing" the points versus Sunderland, albeit big points, Suarez vastly out-played Sturridge in terms of shots created with Sturridge uncharacteristically playing more of a creative role.

The two Form Cards below show both player's expected goals (xGoals) and assists (xAssists) based on shots taken and chances created, and from this expected attacking points (aPts) and their percentage of team's aPts. 
Luis Suárez
Liverpool Forward
Points%MinsxGoals/90xAssists/90aPts/90%Team
1317%0.730.004.236%
STO(H)000.9,0.000.9,0.005.9,0.00
AST(A)000.9,0.000.9,0.005.9,0.00
MAN(H)000.9,0.000.9,0.005.9,0.00
SWA(A)000.9,0.000.9,0.005.9,0.00
SOU(H)000.9,0.000.9,0.005.9,0.00
SUN(A)13900.9,0.730.9,0.005.9,4.220.8,0.36
Daniel Sturridge
Liverpool Forward
Points%MinsxGoals/90xAssists/90aPts/90%Team
45100%0.350.112.325%
STO(H)6900.9,0.680.9,0.195.9,4.500.8,0.17
AST(A)8900.9,0.230.9,0.005.9,1.320.8,0.29
MAN(H)8900.9,0.340.9,0.005.9,1.990.8,0.30
SWA(A)7900.9,0.450.9,0.005.9,2.600.8,0.31
SOU(H)2900.9,0.220.9,0.065.9,1.420.8,0.23
SUN(A)14900.9,0.170.9,0.425.9,2.260.8,0.19
From this we can instantly see Sturridge was much more involved with assists against Sunderland then he has beeen, and had his lowest xGoals rating of the season, indeed he had just the 1 shot. In contrast Suarez was the main man for goals and was not involved with creating anything for anyone else at all.  The Capital One Cup game told a similar story. Suarez having 8 shots to Sturridge's 3. 

It's very early to make a firm conclusion but if this data tells us anything it's that Suarez is set to dominate for Liverpool and Sturridge will miss out. Liverpool's 3-5-2 formation in these last two games perhaps backs up this conclusion. Last season in a nominal 4-3-3 Suarez and Sturridge rotated across the front. This time a 3-5-2 allows both players to remain central. This of course, does not mean Sturridge won't score, but if this early trend continues it'll be difficult for him to keep up the pace he's set for himself this season. A lot will depend on how the team's setup upon Coutinho's return from injury but that could be several weeks away still as Liverpool enter an excellent run of games.


Thursday, September 26

Fantasy Impact: Suarez, Sturridge, Rooney


Suarez returned to action last night for Liverpool's 1-0 loss to a Manchester United. It was an interesting game for Fantasy Managers. Here are a few pointers.

Liverpool's 3-5-2
Rodger's decision to play a 3-5-2 here is significant. He experimented with this formation towards the end of last season but this was a game he wanted to win and no experiment. 

Continuation of this formation is good news for Enrique who we already picked out as one of our top defensive picks in our post yesterday.
  • Liverpool played 3-5-2 with Jose Enrique on the left wing and Henderson on the right. Victor Moses played centrally backed up by Gerrard and Lucas.
  • Suarez and Sturridge played up top together.
  • From his left-wing position Enrique managed 2 shots and 2 key passes. The most overall threat after Liverpool's two forwards.
  • Moses played centrally, producing 1 shot and making two key passes.
  • Back three were Toure, Skertel, Sakho.
Suarez vs. Sturridge
In this match, whilst Sturridge perhaps had the best single chance to score Suarez looked  more involved and as usual dominated his team's attack, having 8 shots to Sturridge's 3 and creating 4 chances. 

The feature piece in our free newsletter this week (sign up here) is the impact of big strikers on one another and in particular RVP with/without Rooney and Suarez with/without Sturridge. 

Both Van Persie and Suarez scored big last season but how did they do when the shared the pitch with their main rival for fantasy points?

Rooney
Rooney was United's main threat on the night and continues to look sharp and hungry. He came close to scoring himself with a couple of efforts, and made 5 shots in total as well as creating 3 chances.

He came away with an assist and importantly this came from a corner. A lot of Van Persie's consistency last season came from corners and assists. It's not likely that Rooney will displace RVP as United's main set-piece taker, but he's in the mix.

As already mentioned, our article in the newsletter this week analyses what how Rooney and Van Persie compare when on the pitch at the same time, and we can tell you now, it's pretty close. 

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